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UN Resolution 1737

No early Iran nuclear estimate update -US official PDF Print E-mail
Friday, 30 May 2008

By Randall Mikkelsen

ImageWASHINGTON, May 29 (Reuters) - U.S. intelligence has no plans to revise an estimate of Iran's nuclear ambitions that critics say underplayed Tehran's efforts to make weapons, a senior U.S. official said on Thursday.

Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence Donald Kerr said, however, that the National Intelligence Estimate on Iran also reflects significant concerns over Iran's intentions, and that these have been overlooked in public debate.

U.S. intelligence officials have spent considerable effort trying to emphasize those concerns since an unclassified version of the document was released in December, Kerr told a think-tank audience.

"Until we have new data, new facts, we're not going to change the basic NIE, the classified version," Kerr told a dinner sponsored by the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

"We of course are working every day to either find more facts, new facts, or those that might support where we are today," he said.

The estimate said Iran had stopped its development of a nuclear device in 2003 -- a change from previous findings -- but continued both efforts to enrich uranium that can be used for nuclear weapons and its ballistic-missile program.

The disclosure that Iran had stopped device development sparked an international political storm. It slowed what critics had called a hasty rush led by the United States to confront Iran over its nuclear aims, including possible use of force.

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who has maintained Iran's nuclear program is peaceful, declared victory.

Conservative critics accused U.S. intelligence of understating the threat and undermining President George W. Bush's get-tough policy on Iran.

"In the end we had the perfect storm. Across the entire political spectrum we had made somebody mad," Kerr said. "We didn't do the job we should have in expressing points we were trying to make."

Kerr said he has since sought to emphasize the critical importance of Iran's nuclear material and missile-development programs, which have continued.

"Once you have fissile material in sufficient quantity we're not talking about a great long period of time before an effective weapons capability might exist," he said.





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In Focus
Iran's nuclear standoff
  • Iran Focus: Tehran, Iran, Nov. 20 - The following is the full text of the most recent report by the International Atomic Energy Agency's director-general on the level of Iranian cooperation over its suspected nuclear weapons program.

  • Reuters: The UK government accused Iran on Thursday of failing to cooperate with a United Nations watchdog and said this increased its concerns over Tehran's nuclear programme.

  • New York Times: Iran has now produced roughly enough nuclear material to make, with added purification, a single atom bomb, according to nuclear experts analyzing the latest report from global atomic inspectors.

  • Wall Street Journal: United Nations investigators found "significant" traces of uranium used in reactors at the wreckage of a Syrian facility that Israel bombed last year, and Iran is ramping up production of nuclear fuel while denying investigators access, the International Atomic Energy Agency reported Wednesday.

  • Reuters: An inquiry by the U.N. nuclear watchdog into alleged atom bomb research by Iran has degenerated into a silent standoff a few months after Tehran asserted "the matter is over," U.N. officials said on Wednesday.

  • AFP: Iran is still defying UN demands to suspend uranium enrichment and not cooperating with investigations into claims that its nuclear programme has a military aspect, the UN atomic watchdog said Wednesday.

  • Reuters: Iran is aiming to commission its first nuclear power plant in 2009 after years of delays, the official IRNA news agency reported on Tuesday.

  • Los Angeles Times: World powers this week failed to come up with a unified strategy to press Iran on halting controversial elements of its nuclear program, as a report emerged suggesting the country had made progress in advancing a little-examined feature of its atomic infrastructure.

  • AFP: Russia is against fresh sanctions on Iran over its disputed nuclear programme as demanded by some Western powers, Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Riabkov said on Friday.

  • Reuters: European Union foreign policy chief Javier Solana said on Friday further contacts with Iran were possible soon to try to resolve the dispute over its nuclear programme.

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