Iran’s government is facing huge crises. Most state-run media outlets, officials, and government affiliates are warning each other about the situation. The country is facing collapse, and the only thing that makes the regime able to control the situation is its aggressive repression and executions, which are increasing in numbers since the start of Ebrahim Raisi’s government.
The following is the conclusion from the remarks about the regime’s critical situation in its outlets.
If Raisi’s government cannot focus and solve the crises points like the JCPOA (Iran’s nuclear deal with world powers), budget, inflation, etc., it must expect catastrophic storms. Ten days after the start of Raisi’s government, Kabul collapsed and created a huge challenge for the country on its eastern border.
Except for the security challenge the daily emigration of hundreds of Afghan refugees, some numbers are speaking about 5000 people daily, which will have political, economic, and security consequences.
The presence of Israel behind the northwest border of the country is a big national security issue and should not be underestimated. And in the middle, the tension is increasing daily. Iraq is facing protests and riots after the election and the present result is not in Iran’s (regime’s) favor and on the other side Saudi Arabia is holding its hostile position and the negotiations are continuing without any feelable outcome.
In the JCPOA the negotiating parties, are accusing Iran of buying time and Iran’s winning card, which means Trump’s exit from the JCPOA and the following actions by Rouhani’s government are becoming a loss for the country.
Regarding domestic policy, the situation is not pleasant. Because the domestic policy is under the effect of the economy and the increasing pressure of inflation has caused people to move their demands to the second stage.
The government, however, has not provided a solution other than the presence of officials at gas stations, pharmacies, and fruit and vegetable markets, and there is no specific policy in this area.
There is no improvement in the country’s situation. Decreased middle-class purchasing power and its fall below the lowest stratum, have irreparable consequences. Despite the many warnings of the (regime’s) experts, the situation is getting worse day by day and as this trend continues, the country is getting closer to social and economic crises.
And the false policy which was usually executed in the of confronting the sanctions had the opposite result and made the situation of the economy worse.
Based on the unemployment, class gap, high prices, the 30 million people living under the poverty line, and finally the 60 million people who require living support without which they are unable to survive even one day, no one can say that there is happiness in the country. With 5 million unemployed youth and a poverty line of $390, this will not create any happiness definitely.
The state-run daily Etemad on November 14 warned the regime about the consequences of poverty which has flooded the entire country wrote:
“If the plight of the poor and marginalized, which their number is increasing would be considered and become the priority in decision makings, even through peaceful positions in foreign relations, the psychological atmosphere around the exchange rate could be calmed and the dollar could not accelerate.”